Bitcoin’s Flash Crash: Headed for $20,000? H2 2023 Lows.


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Bitcoin, the world’s most valuable cryptocurrency, is free-falling, looking at price action on September 11. From the daily chart, BTC is trading at $25,135, a marginal improvement after dropping to H2 2023 lows of $24,951 minutes earlier following an unexpected dump in the early trading hours of the New York trading session. 

The Bitcoin Sell-Off Takes Form

The crash on September 11 saw the coin drop below the consolidation of the past few trading days with the bearish breakdown, looking at price action, canceling bulls of August 31, and setting an increased selling pressure on August 17. The September 11 sell-off has seen a wide-ranging bear candlestick form.

Even though it continues to print, it has relatively high trading volume, indicating high participation levels. Since the bar has above-average volumes, BTC will likely edge lower in the direction defined by the conspicuous bear bar of August 17, when the coin fell 12%, forcing BTC to trend below the $28,700 support level.

Bitcoin price on September 11| Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView
Bitcoin price on September 11| Source: BTCUSDT on Binance, TradingView

Looking at price action, Bitcoin bears are in control and are actively reversing gains posted between June and July 2023. Then, Bitcoin prices rose from around the $20,000 level to as high as $31,800 by the end of July 2023.

Afterward, the coin peaked and began falling as talks of a spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) faded following the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision to put off their decision. 

At spot rates, Bitcoin is down 20% from July 2023 lows but trading at critical Fibonacci retracement levels of the June to July 2023 resistance levels. Even though BTC and crypto prices tend to post deep retracements, the coin may find support at around $25,000.

However, further losses from spot rates in continuation of the August 17 bear bar may see sellers press on rewind gains and force BTC towards June 2023 lows at around $20,000.

The Death Cross On The Bitcoin Chart

Based on technical candlestick arrangements, one analyst notes that the coin closed below the $25,600 mark after the close of last week’s bar. With this dip, the Ichimoku Cloud indicator has printed a “Death Cross.”

Technical analysts note that Bitcoin prices tend to dump when this pattern forms before eventually rebounding over several weeks. Previous instances of the “Death Cross” occurred in June 2021 and January 2022, which saw BTC drop 19% and 23%, respectively. 

BTC "Death Cross": Ichimoku Cloud indicator
BTC “Death Cross”: Ichimoku Cloud indicator

Based on this, if a “Death Cross” prints, BTC may dump by 21%, forcing the coin back to the $20,000 level or June 2023 lows. Before then, BTC has to breach strong support levels at $25,600, $24,000, and $23,200 before retesting the $20,300 zone.

Feature image from Canva, chart from TradingView


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